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113

DENVER MUSEUM OF NATURE & SCIENCE

REPORTS

|

No. 3, July 2, 2016

Oral presentation

The dark side of climate change

Marco Isaia, Stefano Mammola

Department of Life Sciences and Systems Biology,

University of Torino, Via Accademia Albertina,

13-10123 Torino, Italy

marco.isaia@unito.it

The fact that caves are semi-closed systems with an almost

constant temperature makes them almost ideal sites where

to study where to study the effects of the ongoing global

warming on biological communities. In spite of that, the

underlying mechanisms behind the response of specialized

subterranean species to global warming are still largely

undiscussed. By means of two years observations data,

we characterize the thermic conditions of 33 caves in the

Western Alps, and relate the hypogean microclimate to

the occurrence of subterranean-adapted

Troglohyphantes

spiders. Regression analysis points out a specific response to

temperature as well as a significant effect of the past Pleis-

tocene glaciations on their present distribution. In a second

step, we investigate the relationship between temperatures

recorded in monitored caves and the corresponding external

temperature. We emphasize the mechanisms for which the

constant temperature recorded inside corresponds in good

approximation to the mean value of the annual temperature

outside and use this direct relation to extend the results to

a wider dataset, including records from over 350 caves in

the Western Italian Alps. Specifically, we employ Ecological

Niche Modeling techniques to predict habitat suitability both

in the Last Glacial Maximum and in future global warming

scenarios. In light of IPCC’s projections of global average

temperature increases, we assess the general sensitiveness of

our model species to future increase of temperature, point-

ing out a future decline for hypogean adapted species.

Keywords: Global change, subterranean spiders, alpine

spiders, ecological niche modelling

Poster presentation

Threatening the giant: the response of

Vesubia jugorum

to climate change

Marco Isaia, Filippo Milano, Stefano Mammola

Department of Life Sciences and Systems Biology

University of Torino Via Accademia Albertina, 13,

10123 Torino Italy

marco.isaia@unito.it

Human-driven climate deterioration is expected to

cause altitudinal shifts in biomes. There is a concern

for high alpine species that suitable habitats will be

reduced, and populations of cold-tolerant species

living on mountain summits will be increasingly

fragmented.

Vesubia jugorum

, the giant Alpine wolf

spiders, represents a typical example of such cold-

adapted species, as it occurs exclusively on rocky

lands above 2,300 m asl. The species is paleoendemic,

reported exclusively from the Maritime Alps (NW-

Italy), with a very reduced number of populations

reported in literature. On the base of literature and

new original data, we generated a dataset compris-

ing 37 occurrence of the species that we employed to

model potential present distribution of the species via

Ecological Niche Modeling (ENM). On the base of the

model results, we estimated the bioclimatic suitability

of

V. jugorum

in the past (Last Glacial Maximum,

Pleistocene) and in the future, by projecting the

present-day model into different global warming

scenarios predicted by the International Panel on

Climate Change (IPCC). As expected, given the colder

climatic condition in the Pleistocene, the potential past

distribution of

V. jugorum

was found to be wider than

today. Future forecasts based on different temperature

scenarios showed a general declining trend of suitable

areas all over the investigated area. We interpreted

our results in light of the expansion–contraction

model, which describes the response of species to the

fluctuations in temperature during glacial-interglacial

cycles. According to our results the giant Alpine spider

expanded its distribution during cooler periods and

contracted it during interglacials. Therefore, we

hypothesize that the species is currently in a refugial

phase, and we suggest that future warmer conditions

might determine a further contraction of the range.

Keywords: giant alpine spiders, global warming sce-

narios, ecological niche modelling, endemic fauna

20

th

International Congress of Arachnology